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Survive or thrive the coming climate change 24.06.09

“Adapting to the new climate of the 21st century will be costly, sometimes impossible and potentially hugely destabilizing to society” argues Professor Neil Adger at the University of East Anglia, in his lastest book, Adapting to Climate Change, published this week by Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research with Cambridge University Press.



The costs of adaptation will force governments to redefine what they mean by progress, argues Professor Adger’s new book Adapting to Climate Change, published this week by researchers at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, the University of East Anglia, and the University of Oslo.

Adapting to Climate Change is the latest science of how the risks of climate change will impact water availability, biodiversity, flooding, land inundation and health, and how those impacts might be handled by society. The book comes in the same week that the UK’s Environment Agency called for a doubling of funding to protect the UK from flood damage resulting from future climate change.

Adapting to Climate Change: Thresholds, Values, Governance finds that:

• Adaptation thresholds: The impacts of climate change come in large steps that are difficult to adapt to. Evidence from regions such as southern Africa and South America shows that small shifts in rainfall can radically alter what can be grown and transforms the prospects for agriculture. “We need to detect these localized tipping points and learn early lessons from early warnings” says Professor Neil Adger.

• Adaptation Values: People do not necessarily agree the importance of the risks because they have different values and worldviews. In India, fishing communities are threatened by changing fish stocks, affecting not only livelihoods, but also personal and cultural identities. “It is difficult to tell fishermen and fisherwomen to hang up their nets. Such adaptation will be painful for many” says Professor Karen O’Brien of the University of Oslo.

• Adaptation Governance: Governments need new ways to handle the risks of climate change. “The controversy over property lost to coastal erosion in East Anglia in England shows that compensation can only ever be part of the solution. People want security and long term planning. They want to be included and their voice to be heard” says Neil Adger.

The book is also a call for action on reducing emissions as the cause of the problem. “Adaptation is the key challenge of climate change for our lifetime whether or not there is a significant international deal at Copenhagen on greenhouse gas emissions” says Karen O’Brien. A deal on reducing emissions is vital to stave off the worst impacts.

The book Adapting to Climate Change: Thresholds, Values, Governance is edited by Neil Adger and Irene Lorenzoni of the Tyndall Centre at University of East Anglia and Karen O’Brien from University of Oslo. It is published by Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org/uk/catalog...

Neil Adger is Professor in the School of Environmental Sciences at University of East Anglia and leads the adaptation theme in the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.

Karen O’Brien is Professor in the Department of Sociology and Human Geography at the University of Oslo. She is Chair of the international research programme on Global Environmental Change and Human Security and leads the PLAN project on climate change adaptation in Norway.

Peter Shield

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